The book shows how risk, defined as the statistical expectation of loss, can be formally decomposed as the product of two terms: hazard probability and system vulnerability. This requires a specific definition of vulnerability that replaces the many fuzzy definitions abounding in the literature. The approach is expanded to more complex risk analysis with three components rather than two, and with various definitions of hazard. Equations are derived to quantify the uncertainty of each risk ...

Talk of politics in the United States today is abuzz with warring red and blue factions. The message is that Americans are split due to deeply-held beliefs—over abortion, gay marriage, stem-cell research, prayer in public schools. Is this cultural divide a myth, the product of elite partisans? Or is the split real?Yes, argue authors Mark Brewer and Jeffrey Stonecash—the cultural divisions are real. Yet they tell only half the story. Differences in income and economic opportunity al...

A novel of the culinary business, the ups and downs but also how fun the journey is.

As Mark Brewer explains in his introduction, "Beer is one of the oldest beverages known to man . . . and woman! In fact women were the first brewers since one of their primary responsibilities involved cooking. Years ago beer was considered a food as well as a drink. Beer provided many of the calories needed for one's daily diet. Dating back all the way to the fifth millennium BC, beer was recorded by the ancient Egyptian scribes, who also created an extra hieroglyph specifically for brew...

The 2016 Presidential Election: The Causes and Consequences of a Political Earthquake critically analyzes the 2016 presidential election. The chapters in this book identify key factors behind the election of Donald J. Trump, explore the unconventional campaign, analyze the unexpected election result, evaluate the forecasting models, and speculate on the effect of the election outcome on politics and governance in the Trump Administration.

This concise everyperson's wine guide elucidates the essentials of vino, from grapes and wine making, to wine types and terroirs, to tips on wine tasting! Armed with this little volume, you'll hold your own in discussions about wine, select the right bottle for any meal, and serve and order wine with panache. Got a minute? That's all it takes, so download The One-Minute Wine Expert, pop that cork, and get started!

Here's a fun guide to discover the nuances of artisan beers from lagers and ales to porters and stouts. Tasting profiles from the booklet get the ball rolling—they break down beer into style categories and include information on each variety's background, flavors, aromas, and unique character.

A behind-the-scenes guide to the craft brewing world—with advice from the best in the business at Summit, Dogfish Head, Three Floyds, and more!Learn the finer points of craft brewing beer, ciders, and meads with eighteen world-class brewers, including Vinnie Cilurzo (Russian River), Sam Calagione (Dogfish Head), and Ken Grossman (Sierra Nevada)—as well as top brewers from Belgium, England, Scotland, France, Canada, and Germany—as they share their expertise in vivid,...

Extreme Brewing is a must-have book for aspiring home brewers who are interested in making their own specialty beers at home.There is no in-depth science to absorb and all the recipes, including 14 new recipes not included in the original edition, are easy to follow and malt-syrup based, with variations for partial-grain brewing. Extreme Brewing is rooted in the brewing tradition of Belgium with a unique emphasis on hybrid styles that incorporate ...

A book for smart people in a hurry,this book gives an intelligent reader a succinct, college level course in wine in the minimum amount of time. Every effort has been made to respect both the subject matter and the reader's intelligence.

This ''Essential Guide to the Beloved Brewski'' provides a world of beer knowledge at your fingertips! Includes descriptions and recommendations for 33 different styles of beer, ale, and lager, plus beer history and tips on brewing, tasting, and evaluating. The perfect book for any beer connoisseur!

1st Place Winner of the 2012 Gourmand Award for Best in the World in the Beer category. For millennia, beer has been a favorite beverage in cultures across the globe. After water and tea, it is the most popular drink in the world, and it is at the center of a $450 billion industry. The first major reference work to investigate the history and vast scope of beer, The Oxford Companion to Beer features more than 1,100 A-Z entries written by 166 of the world's most prominent beer experts. Attr...