Do you know how to think about the future? All our decisions are about the future, whether it’s tomorrow, next year or the next decade, yet our choices are often undermined by desires, expectations and common mental mistakes – making assumptions, worrying about things we can’t control, missing signals because we’re distracted by the noise. But if you can learn how to think, you can learn how to look ahead. Isaac Newton said: ‘If I have seen further than others, it is by standing on the sho...

Clem Sunter and Chantell Ilbury’s seminal scenario planning books – The Mind of a Fox, Games Foxes Play and Socrates & the Fox – are now available for the first time as a single-volume e-book. The Fox Trilogy traces the development of a methodology that is now used around the world by large and small organisations alike. It assumes the future is unpredictable and should be split into different scenarios, each of which has its own flags, probability and optimum course of action. This model ...

'Clem Sunter is South Africa's pre-eminent scenario planner' - Daily Maverick Like true foxes, South Africans invariably rise to the challenge of adapting to whatever the future throws at them. All that is needed is leadership of the right kind. The latest in Clem Sunter's top-selling series of books, 21st Century Megatrends gives politicians, business leaders, social activists - and all the rest of us - a way of understanding the path forward in a world that constantly generates mixed sig...

With "Flagwatching", top-selling author Clem Sunter breaks new ground. Building on the more abstract discipline of scenario planning for which he is internationally known, this book offers an innovative, highly practical method for decoding the future. Flagwatching is something we do every day. Whether it is detecting a change of facial expression during a conversation with a friend, spotting the potential dangers when driving a car or monitoring our own health, we are on the alert for sig...

The newest in the topselling Fox series, this book is a collection of his most recent columns. Master strategist Sunter covers current events and topics of general interest in his unmistakable, highly readable Sunter style. He has updated and annotated each column with new insights and information on what has happened since and how this bears out his theories (or not). The book includes possible paths the global economy and South Africa might follow in the years ahead. Packed full of wit a...

In 1977 R W Johnson's best-selling How Long Will South Africa Survive? provided a controversial analysis of the survival prospects of the apartheid regime. Now, after more than twenty years of ANC rule, he believes the situation has become so critical that the question must be posed again. He moves from an analysis of Jacob Zuma's rule to the increasingly dire state of the South African economy, concluding that the country is heading towards a likely International Monetary Fund bail-out, w...

The international bestseller—don't compete without it!A major bestseller in Japan, Financial Times Top Ten book of the year, Book-of-the-Month Club bestseller, and required reading at the best business schools, Thinking Strategically is a crash course in outmaneauvering any rival. This entertaining guide builds on scores of case studies taken from business, sports, the movies, politics, and gambling. It outlines the basics of good strategy making and then shows ho...

Many candidates like to use model answers when they are preparing for the IELTS speaking and writing modules. This book provides 101 model answers for Writing Task 2, including essays on many of the most recent questions asked during 2013 and the beginning of 2014.The model answers are intended as a guide. Candidates can use the ideas presented in the essays in their own writing. In addition, candidates may find that the vocabulary and structures used in the answers help them to cr...

She predicted the financial crisis. She predicted Brexit. She predicted Trump. Now Dr Pippa Malmgren shares the signals that will protect you from the next surprise.Drawing on a wonderful range of examples - from magazine covers and supermarkets to public protests - SIGNALS is the fascinating story of the world economy told in the language of everyday objects, places and events. Malmgren explains why the size of chocolate bars, steaks and apartments are sh...

Nobel-Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman argues that business leaders need to understand the differences between economic policy on the national and international scale and business strategy on the organizational scale. Economists deal with the closed system of a national economy, whereas executives live in the open-system world of business. Moreover, economists know that an economy must be run on the basis of general principles, but businesspeople are forever in search of the particular...

Who makes most money from the demand for cappuccinos early in the morning at Waterloo Station? Why is it impossible to get a foot on the property ladder? How does the Mafia make money from laundries when street gangs pushing drugs don't? Who really benefits from immigration? How can China, in just fifty years, go from the world's worst famine to one of the greatest economic revolutions of all time, lifting a million people out of poverty a month?Looking at familiar situations in un...

A unique insider's account of the Harper government so damning that it cannot be ignoredIn March 2008, Kevin Page was appointed by the federal Conservatives to be the country's first Parliamentary Budget Officer. The move fulfilled a Tory campaign promise to deliver greater government transparency and accountability. He was later denounced by the same people who appointed him to scrutinize their spending. When he challenged the government on several issues--most not...